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WAL Walesi Championship - lõuna · Mäng ·

Newport City vs Carmarthen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–22.93 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit32%
Viik24%
Võõrsilvõit44%
Full model forecastVõõrsilvõitTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVõõrsilvõit44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Newport CityCarmarthen
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üle56% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
32% / 24% / 44%Mängu tulemusVõõrsilvõit44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.4%)Topeltvõimalus1275.6%1.32
Üle 56% · Alla 44%Goals 2.5Üle56%1.79
Jah 57% · Ei 43%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah57%1.75
2.93 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–2
10.5 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapCarmarthen winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newport City win32%3.132.7532.8%-0.8 pp
Viik24%4.173.7024.3%-0.3 pp
Carmarthen win44%2.272.1042.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newport City1.14

Kodu share of expected goals 38.9%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 56% · Alla 44%

Carmarthen1.79

Võõras share of expected goals 61.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJah 57% · Ei 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Newport City

1.20pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punktid6

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Carmarthen

1.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punktid7

SignalKodu failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Võit probability excluding draw
44%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.14
Expected goals
1.79
Newport CityCarmarthen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newport City signalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Carmarthen signalKodu failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Newport City vs Carmarthen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Võõrsilvõit · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newport City võit 32%,Viik 24%,Carmarthen võit 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Üle 2.5 56% · Current selection Üle