MatchFormula Maç bul
Menu
UTC+8
Saat dilimiAsia/Shanghai
Türkçe
WAL Wales Championship South · Maç ·

Newport City vs Carmarthen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–22.93 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır32%
Beraberlik24%
Deplasman kazanır44%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Newport CityCarmarthen
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üst56% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
32% / 24% / 44%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.4%)Çifte Şans1275.6%1.32
Üst 56% · Alt 44%Goals 2.5Üst56%1.79
Evet 57% · Hayır 43%Karşılıklı gol varEvet57%1.75
2.93 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–2
10.5 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapCarmarthen winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newport City win32%3.132.7532.8%-0.8 pp
Beraberlik24%4.173.7024.3%-0.3 pp
Carmarthen win44%2.272.1042.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newport City1.14

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 38.9%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 56% · Alt 44%

Carmarthen1.79

Deplasman share of expected goals 61.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitEvet 57% · Hayır 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Newport City

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Carmarthen

1.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puan7

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
44%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.14
Expected goals
1.79
Newport CityCarmarthen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newport City signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Carmarthen signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Newport City vs Carmarthen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newport City kazanç 32%,Beraberlik 24%,Carmarthen kazanç 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · 2.5 Üst 56% · Current selection Üst