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WAL Чемпионат Уэльса - Юг · Матч ·

Newport City vs Кармартен

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–22.93 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев32%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей44%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей44% selection probability
Projected score1–2Newport CityКармартен
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше56% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
32% / 24% / 44%Исход матчаПобеда гостей44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.4%)Двойной шанс1275.6%1.32
Больше 56% · Меньше 44%Goals 2.5Больше56%1.79
Да 57% · Нет 43%Обе забьютДа57%1.75
2.93 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
10.5 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapКармартен winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Newport City win32%3.132.7532.8%-0.8 pp
Ничья24%4.173.7024.3%-0.3 pp
Кармартен win44%2.272.1042.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Newport City1.14

Хозяева share of expected goals 38.9%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 56% · Меньше 44%

Кармартен1.79

Гости share of expected goals 61.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 57% · Нет 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Newport City

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Кармартен

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
44%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.14
Expected goals
1.79
Newport CityКармартен
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Newport City signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Кармартен signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Newport City vs Кармартен FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Newport City выигрыш 32%,Ничья 24%,Кармартен выигрыш 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · ТБ 2.5 56% · Current selection Больше