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WAL Wales - Championship - Juh · Zápas ·

Aberystwyth vs Treowen Stars

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–23.47 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich59%
Remíza21%
Výhra hostí21%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich59% selection probability
Projected score2–2AberystwythTreowen Stars
Expected goals3.47Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac67% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
59% / 21% / 21%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Treowen Stars win (20.5%)Dvojitá šanca1X79.5%1.26
Viac 67% · Menej 33%Goals 2.5Viac67%1.49
Áno 67% · Nie 33%Oba tímy skórujúÁno67%1.49
3.47 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–2
10.2 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapTreowen Stars winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aberystwyth win59%1.691.5059.5%-0.5 pp
Remíza21%4.764.3320.6%+0.4 pp
Treowen Stars win21%4.764.5019.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aberystwyth1.97

Domáci share of expected goals 56.8%

Total expected goals3.47Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 67% · Menej 33%

Treowen Stars1.50

Hostia share of expected goals 43.2%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitÁno 67% · Nie 33%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Aberystwyth

1.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Treowen Stars

0.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Body3

SignalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Výhra probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
3
1.97
Expected goals
1.50
AberystwythTreowen Stars
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aberystwyth signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Treowen Stars signalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Aberystwyth vs Treowen Stars FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–2 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aberystwyth výhra 59%,Remíza 21%,Treowen Stars výhra 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.47 · Viac 2.5 67% · Current selection Viac