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WAL Чемпионат Уэльса - Юг · Матч ·

Аберистуит vs Треуэн Старз

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–23.47 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев59%
Ничья21%
Победа гостей21%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев59% selection probability
Projected score2–2АберистуитТреуэн Старз
Expected goals3.47Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше67% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
59% / 21% / 21%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Треуэн Старз win (20.5%)Двойной шанс1X79.5%1.26
Больше 67% · Меньше 33%Goals 2.5Больше67%1.49
Да 67% · Нет 33%Обе забьютДа67%1.49
3.47 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–2
10.2 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapТреуэн Старз winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Аберистуит win59%1.691.5059.5%-0.5 pp
Ничья21%4.764.3320.6%+0.4 pp
Треуэн Старз win21%4.764.5019.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Аберистуит1.97

Хозяева share of expected goals 56.8%

Total expected goals3.47Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 67% · Меньше 33%

Треуэн Старз1.50

Гости share of expected goals 43.2%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 67% · Нет 33%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Аберистуит

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Треуэн Старз

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Баллы3

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
3
1.97
Expected goals
1.50
АберистуитТреуэн Старз
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Аберистуит signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Треуэн Старз signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Аберистуит vs Треуэн Старз FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–2 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Аберистуит выигрыш 59%,Ничья 21%,Треуэн Старз выигрыш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.47 · ТБ 2.5 67% · Current selection Больше