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WAL Wales Championship South · Kamp ·

Aberystwyth vs Treowen Stars

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–23.47 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier59%
Uavgjort21%
Borteseier21%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier59% selection probability
Projected score2–2AberystwythTreowen Stars
Expected goals3.47Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over67% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
59% / 21% / 21%KampresultatHjemmeseier59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Treowen Stars win (20.5%)Dobbel sjanse1X79.5%1.26
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Ja 67% · Nei 33%Begge lag scorerJa67%1.49
3.47 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
10.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapTreowen Stars winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aberystwyth win59%1.691.5059.5%-0.5 pp
Uavgjort21%4.764.3320.6%+0.4 pp
Treowen Stars win21%4.764.5019.8%+1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aberystwyth1.97

Hjemme share of expected goals 56.8%

Total expected goals3.47Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%

Treowen Stars1.50

Borte share of expected goals 43.2%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 67% · Nei 33%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Aberystwyth

1.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poeng5

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Treowen Stars

0.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poeng3

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
3
1.97
Expected goals
1.50
AberystwythTreowen Stars
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aberystwyth signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Treowen Stars signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Aberystwyth vs Treowen Stars FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–2 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aberystwyth vunnet 59%,Uavgjort 21%,Treowen Stars vunnet 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.47 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over