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WAL ウェールズ チャンピオンシップ南部 · 試合 ·

アベリストウィス vs トレオウェン・スターズ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–13.47 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利59%
引き分け21%
アウェイ勝利20%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利59% selection probability
Projected score2–1アベリストウィストレオウェン・スターズ
Expected goals3.47始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー67% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
59% / 21% / 20%試合結果ホーム勝利59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes トレオウェン・スターズ win (20.4%)ダブルチャンス1X79.6%1.26
オーバー 67% · アンダー 33%Goals 2.5オーバー67%1.49
はい 67% · いいえ 33%両チーム得点はい67%1.49
3.47 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
10.2 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapアベリストウィス winDifference-0.5 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
アベリストウィス win59%1.691.5059.5%-0.5 pp
引き分け21%4.764.3320.6%+0.4 pp
トレオウェン・スターズ win20%5.004.5019.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アベリストウィス2.00

ホーム share of expected goals 57.6%

Total expected goals3.47始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 67% · アンダー 33%

トレオウェン・スターズ1.47

アウェイ share of expected goals 42.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 67% · いいえ 33%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アベリストウィス

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

トレオウェン・スターズ

0.60pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn0Losses4ポイント3

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
勝ち probability excluding draw
20%
5
Points from supplied form
3
2.00
Expected goals
1.47
アベリストウィストレオウェン・スターズ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アベリストウィス signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02トレオウェン・スターズ signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

アベリストウィス vs トレオウェン・スターズ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アベリストウィス 勝ち 59%,引き分け 21%,トレオウェン・スターズ 勝ち 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.47 · オーバー 2.5 67% · Current selection オーバー