Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
59% / 21% / 21%Match resultHome win59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Treowen Stars win (20.5%)Double chance1X79.5%1.26
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Yes 67% · No 33%Both teams scoreYes67%1.49
3.47 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2——
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapTreowen Stars winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aberystwyth win59%1.691.5059.5%-0.5 pp
Draw21%4.764.3320.6%+0.4 pp
Treowen Stars win21%4.764.5019.8%+1.2 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 56.8%
Total expected goals3.47Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%
Away share of expected goals 43.2%
Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 67% · No 33%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchAberystwyth
WDLDL
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchTreowen Stars
LWLLL
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
59%
Win probability excluding draw
21%5
Points from supplied form
31.97
Expected goals
1.50AberystwythTreowen Stars
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.
Match questions
Aberystwyth vs Treowen Stars FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 59% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Aberystwyth win 59%，Draw 21%，Treowen Stars win 21%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.47 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over。