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BRA Brasil - Serie A · Round 21 ·

Cruzeiro vs Mirassol

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local56%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante17%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local56% selection probability
Projected score1–1CruzeiroMirassol
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de58% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
56% / 27% / 17%Resultado del partidoVictoria local56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mirassol win (17.2%)Doble Oportunidad1X82.8%1.21
Más de 42% · Menos de 58%Goals 2.5Menos de58%1.72
Sí 47% · No 53%Ambos equipos marcanNo53%1.89
2.35 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gapCruzeiro winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cruzeiro win56%1.791.6756.6%-0.6 pp
Empate27%3.703.5027%0.0 pp
Mirassol win17%5.885.7516.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cruzeiro1.34

Local share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 42% · Menos de 58%

Mirassol1.01

Visitante share of expected goals 43%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 47% · No 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Cruzeiro

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Mirassol

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Ganado probability excluding draw
17%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.34
Expected goals
1.01
CruzeiroMirassol
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cruzeiro signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mirassol signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Cruzeiro vs Mirassol FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cruzeiro ganada 56%,Empate 27%,Mirassol ganada 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Más de 2.5 42% · Current selection Menos de