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BRA Brazil Serie A · Round 22 ·

Cruzeiro vs Mirassol

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit56%
Viik27%
Võõrsilvõit17%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit56% selection probability
Projected score1–1CruzeiroMirassol
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alla59% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
56% / 27% / 17%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mirassol win (17.2%)Topeltvõimalus1X82.8%1.21
Üle 41% · Alla 59%Goals 2.5Alla59%1.69
Jah 47% · Ei 53%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi53%1.89
2.34 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–1
9.7 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gapCruzeiro winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cruzeiro win56%1.791.6756.6%-0.6 pp
Viik27%3.703.5027%0.0 pp
Mirassol win17%5.885.7516.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cruzeiro1.33

Kodu share of expected goals 56.8%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üle 41% · Alla 59%

Mirassol1.01

Võõras share of expected goals 43.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJah 47% · Ei 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Cruzeiro

2.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punktid10

SignalKodu unbeaten 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Mirassol

1.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punktid7

SignalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Võit probability excluding draw
17%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.33
Expected goals
1.01
CruzeiroMirassol
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cruzeiro signalKodu unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mirassol signalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Cruzeiro vs Mirassol FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 1–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cruzeiro võit 56%,Viik 27%,Mirassol võit 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Üle 2.5 41% · Current selection Alla