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BRA Brazil Serie A · Round 21 ·

Cruzeiro vs Mirassol

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile56%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur17%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile56% selection probability
Projected score1–1CruzeiroMirassol
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de58% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
56% / 27% / 17%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mirassol win (17.2%)Double chance1X82.8%1.21
Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%Goals 2.5Moins de58%1.72
Oui 47% · Non 53%Les deux équipes marquentNon53%1.89
2.35 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gapCruzeiro winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cruzeiro win56%1.791.6756.6%-0.6 pp
Nul27%3.703.5027%0.0 pp
Mirassol win17%5.885.7516.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cruzeiro1.34

Domicile share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 42% · Moins de 58%

Mirassol1.01

Extérieur share of expected goals 43%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 47% · Non 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Cruzeiro

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Mirassol

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Gagné probability excluding draw
17%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.34
Expected goals
1.01
CruzeiroMirassol
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cruzeiro signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mirassol signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Cruzeiro vs Mirassol FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cruzeiro victoire 56%,Nul 27%,Mirassol victoire 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Plus de 2.5 42% · Current selection Moins de