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BRA Brazil Serie A · Round 21 ·

Κρουζέιρο vs Μιρασόλ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου56%
Ισοπαλία27%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου17%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου56% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΚρουζέιροΜιρασόλ
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω58% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
56% / 27% / 17%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Μιρασόλ win (17.2%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X82.8%1.21
Άνω 42% · Κάτω 58%Goals 2.5Κάτω58%1.72
Ναι 47% · Όχι 53%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι53%1.89
2.35 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.7 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gapΚρουζέιρο winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Κρουζέιρο win56%1.791.6756.6%-0.6 pp
Ισοπαλία27%3.703.5027%0.0 pp
Μιρασόλ win17%5.885.7516.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Κρουζέιρο1.34

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 42% · Κάτω 58%

Μιρασόλ1.01

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 43%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 47% · Όχι 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Κρουζέιρο

2.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Πόντοι10

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Μιρασόλ

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
17%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.34
Expected goals
1.01
ΚρουζέιροΜιρασόλ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Κρουζέιρο signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Μιρασόλ signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Κρουζέιρο vs Μιρασόλ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Κρουζέιρο νίκη 56%,Ισοπαλία 27%,Μιρασόλ νίκη 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Άνω 2.5 42% · Current selection Κάτω