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BRA Brazil Serie A · Round 21 ·

Cruzeiro vs Mirassol

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa56%
Empate27%
Vitória visitante17%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa56% selection probability
Projected score1–1CruzeiroMirassol
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo58% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
56% / 27% / 17%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mirassol win (17.2%)Dupla Chance1X82.8%1.21
Acima 42% · Abaixo 58%Goals 2.5Abaixo58%1.72
Sim 47% · Não 53%Ambas as equipes marcamNão53%1.89
2.35 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.7 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gapCruzeiro winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cruzeiro win56%1.791.6756.6%-0.6 pp
Empate27%3.703.5027%0.0 pp
Mirassol win17%5.885.7516.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cruzeiro1.34

Mandante share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 42% · Abaixo 58%

Mirassol1.01

Visitante share of expected goals 43%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 47% · Não 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Cruzeiro

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Mirassol

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
17%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.34
Expected goals
1.01
CruzeiroMirassol
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cruzeiro signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mirassol signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Cruzeiro vs Mirassol FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cruzeiro ganhou 56%,Empate 27%,Mirassol ganhou 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Acima 2.5 42% · Current selection Abaixo