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Български
BRA Brazil Serie A · Round 21 ·

Крузейро vs Мирасол

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.35 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина56%
Равен27%
Победа за госта17%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина56% selection probability
Projected score1–1КрузейроМирасол
Expected goals2.35Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под58% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
56% / 27% / 17%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Мирасол win (17.2%)Двоен шанс1X82.8%1.21
Над 42% · Под 58%Goals 2.5Под58%1.72
Да 47% · Не 53%И двата отбора да отбележатНе53%1.89
2.35 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.8%Largest probability gapКрузейро winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Крузейро win56%1.791.6756.6%-0.6 pp
Равен27%3.703.5027%0.0 pp
Мирасол win17%5.885.7516.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Крузейро1.34

Домакин share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals2.35Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 42% · Под 58%

Мирасол1.01

Гост share of expected goals 43%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 47% · Не 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Крузейро

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Мирасол

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
17%
10
Points from supplied form
7
1.34
Expected goals
1.01
КрузейроМирасол
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Крузейро signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Мирасол signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Крузейро vs Мирасол FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Крузейро печеливш 56%,Равен 27%,Мирасол печеливш 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.35 · Над 2.5 42% · Current selection Под