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SWE 瑞典甲級聯賽 南部 · ·

阿里亞納FC馬爾默 vs 特利堡

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–23.00 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝32%
28%
客勝40%
Full model forecast客勝Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call客勝40% selection probability
Projected score1–2阿里亞納FC馬爾默特利堡
Expected goals3.00Balanced match profile
Goals 2.557% for the selected side
雙方進球60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
32% / 28% / 40%比賽結果客勝40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)雙勝彩1272.4%1.38
大 57% · 小 43%Goals 2.557%1.75
是 60% · 否 40%雙方進球60%1.67
3.00 total expected goals正確比分1–2
9.6 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
阿里亞納FC馬爾默 win32%3.13
28%3.57
特利堡 win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

阿里亞納FC馬爾默1.37

主隊 share of expected goals 45.7%

Total expected goals3.00Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 57% · 43%

特利堡1.63

客隊 share of expected goals 54.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 60% · 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

阿里亞納FC馬爾默

2.00pts / match
5Wins3Drawn1Losses1積分10

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

特利堡

2.20pts / match
5Wins3Drawn2Losses0積分11

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
贏 probability excluding draw
40%
10
Points from supplied form
11
1.37
Expected goals
1.63
阿里亞納FC馬爾默特利堡
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01阿里亞納FC馬爾默 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02特利堡 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

阿里亞納FC馬爾默 vs 特利堡 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 客勝 · Projected score 1–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

阿里亞納FC馬爾默 32%, 28%,特利堡 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.00 · 大2.5 57% · Current selection