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SWE Schweden - 1. Division Süd · Spiel ·

Ariana FC Malmö vs Trelleborgs FF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–23.00 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg32%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg40%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg40% selection probability
Projected score1–2Ariana FC MalmöTrelleborgs FF
Expected goals3.00Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über57% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
32% / 27% / 40%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Doppelte Chance1272.5%1.38
Über 57% · Unter 43%Goals 2.5Über57%1.75
Ja 60% · Nein 40%Beide Teams treffenJa60%1.67
3.00 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
9.6 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Ariana FC Malmö win32%3.13
Unentschieden27%3.70
Trelleborgs FF win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ariana FC Malmö1.37

Heim share of expected goals 45.7%

Total expected goals3.00Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 57% · Unter 43%

Trelleborgs FF1.63

Auswärts share of expected goals 54.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 60% · Nein 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Ariana FC Malmö

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Trelleborgs FF

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
40%
10
Points from supplied form
11
1.37
Expected goals
1.63
Ariana FC MalmöTrelleborgs FF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ariana FC Malmö signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Trelleborgs FF signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Ariana FC Malmö vs Trelleborgs FF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ariana FC Malmö Gewinn 32%,Unentschieden 27%,Trelleborgs FF Gewinn 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.00 · Über 2.5 57% · Current selection Über