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SWE Szwecja - Div 1 Södra · Mecz ·

Ariana FC Malmo vs Trelleborgs FF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–23.00 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy32%
Remis28%
Wygrana gości40%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości40% selection probability
Projected score1–2Ariana FC MalmoTrelleborgs FF
Expected goals3.00Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej57% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
32% / 28% / 40%Wynik meczuWygrana gości40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Podwójna szansa1272.5%1.38
Powyżej 57% · Poniżej 43%Goals 2.5Powyżej57%1.75
Tak 60% · Nie 40%Obie drużyny strzeląTak60%1.67
3.00 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
9.6 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
Ariana FC Malmo win32%3.13
Remis28%3.57
Trelleborgs FF win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ariana FC Malmo1.37

Gospodarze share of expected goals 45.7%

Total expected goals3.00Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 57% · Poniżej 43%

Trelleborgs FF1.63

Goście share of expected goals 54.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 60% · Nie 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Ariana FC Malmo

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Trelleborgs FF

2.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkty11

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
40%
10
Points from supplied form
11
1.37
Expected goals
1.63
Ariana FC MalmoTrelleborgs FF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ariana FC Malmo signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Trelleborgs FF signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Ariana FC Malmo vs Trelleborgs FF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ariana FC Malmo wygrana 32%,Remis 28%,Trelleborgs FF wygrana 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.00 · Powyżej 2.5 57% · Current selection Powyżej