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SWE Zweden - Ettan Södra · Wedstrijd ·

Ariana FC Malmö vs Trelleborgs FF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–23.00 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst34%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst41%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst41% selection probability
Projected score1–2Ariana FC MalmöTrelleborgs FF
Expected goals3.00Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven57% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
34% / 25% / 41%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Dubbele Kans1275.1%1.33
Boven 57% · Onder 43%Goals 2.5Boven57%1.75
Ja 60% · Nee 40%Beide teams scorenJa60%1.67
3.00 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
9.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapAriana FC Malmö winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ariana FC Malmö win34%2.942.6034.4%-0.4 pp
Gelijkspel25%4.003.6024.9%+0.1 pp
Trelleborgs FF win41%2.442.2040.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ariana FC Malmö1.37

Thuis share of expected goals 45.7%

Total expected goals3.00Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 57% · Onder 43%

Trelleborgs FF1.63

Uit share of expected goals 54.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 60% · Nee 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Ariana FC Malmö

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Trelleborgs FF

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
41%
10
Points from supplied form
11
1.37
Expected goals
1.63
Ariana FC MalmöTrelleborgs FF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ariana FC Malmö signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Trelleborgs FF signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Ariana FC Malmö vs Trelleborgs FF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ariana FC Malmö gewonnen 34%,Gelijkspel 25%,Trelleborgs FF gewonnen 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.00 · Boven 2.5 57% · Current selection Boven