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SWE Швеция - 1-й дивизион - Сёдра · Матч ·

Ариана ФК Мальмо vs ФФ Треллеборг

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–23.00 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев32%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей40%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей40% selection probability
Projected score1–2Ариана ФК МальмоФФ Треллеборг
Expected goals3.00Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше57% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
32% / 28% / 40%Исход матчаПобеда гостей40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Двойной шанс1272.5%1.38
Больше 57% · Меньше 43%Goals 2.5Больше57%1.75
Да 60% · Нет 40%Обе забьютДа60%1.67
3.00 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
9.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Ариана ФК Мальмо win32%3.13
Ничья28%3.57
ФФ Треллеборг win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ариана ФК Мальмо1.37

Хозяева share of expected goals 45.7%

Total expected goals3.00Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 57% · Меньше 43%

ФФ Треллеборг1.63

Гости share of expected goals 54.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 60% · Нет 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Ариана ФК Мальмо

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФФ Треллеборг

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
40%
10
Points from supplied form
11
1.37
Expected goals
1.63
Ариана ФК МальмоФФ Треллеборг
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ариана ФК Мальмо signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФФ Треллеборг signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Ариана ФК Мальмо vs ФФ Треллеборг FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ариана ФК Мальмо выигрыш 32%,Ничья 28%,ФФ Треллеборг выигрыш 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.00 · ТБ 2.5 57% · Current selection Больше