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SWE Швеция - 1. Дивизия Содра · Мач ·

Ариана Малмьо vs Трелеборгс

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–23.00 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина32%
Равен28%
Победа за госта40%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта40% selection probability
Projected score1–2Ариана МалмьоТрелеборгс
Expected goals3.00Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над57% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
32% / 28% / 40%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Двоен шанс1272.4%1.38
Над 57% · Под 43%Goals 2.5Над57%1.75
Да 60% · Не 40%И двата отбора да отбележатДа60%1.67
3.00 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–2
9.6 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
Ариана Малмьо win32%3.13
Равен28%3.57
Трелеборгс win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ариана Малмьо1.37

Домакин share of expected goals 45.7%

Total expected goals3.00Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 57% · Под 43%

Трелеборгс1.63

Гост share of expected goals 54.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 60% · Не 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Ариана Малмьо

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Трелеборгс

2.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Точки11

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
40%
10
Points from supplied form
11
1.37
Expected goals
1.63
Ариана МалмьоТрелеборгс
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ариана Малмьо signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Трелеборгс signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Ариана Малмьо vs Трелеборгс FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ариана Малмьо печеливш 32%,Равен 28%,Трелеборгс печеливш 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.00 · Над 2.5 57% · Current selection Над