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SWE Suécia - 1.ª Divisão - Sul · Partida ·

Ariana FC Malmö vs Trelleborgs FF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–23.00 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa32%
Empate28%
Vitória visitante40%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante40% selection probability
Projected score1–2Ariana FC MalmöTrelleborgs FF
Expected goals3.00Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima57% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
32% / 28% / 40%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Dupla Chance1272.5%1.38
Acima 57% · Abaixo 43%Goals 2.5Acima57%1.75
Sim 60% · Não 40%Ambas as equipes marcamSim60%1.67
3.00 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–2
9.6 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Ariana FC Malmö win32%3.13
Empate28%3.57
Trelleborgs FF win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ariana FC Malmö1.37

Mandante share of expected goals 45.7%

Total expected goals3.00Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 57% · Abaixo 43%

Trelleborgs FF1.63

Visitante share of expected goals 54.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitSim 60% · Não 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Ariana FC Malmö

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Trelleborgs FF

2.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontos11

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
40%
10
Points from supplied form
11
1.37
Expected goals
1.63
Ariana FC MalmöTrelleborgs FF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ariana FC Malmö signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Trelleborgs FF signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Ariana FC Malmö vs Trelleborgs FF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ariana FC Malmö ganhou 32%,Empate 28%,Trelleborgs FF ganhou 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.00 · Acima 2.5 57% · Current selection Acima