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SWE スウェーデン ディビジョン1 ソドラ · 試合 ·

アリアナFCマルメー vs トレッレボリFF

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–23.00 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利32%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利40%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利40% selection probability
Projected score1–2アリアナFCマルメートレッレボリFF
Expected goals3.00Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー57% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
32% / 28% / 40%試合結果アウェイ勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)ダブルチャンス1272.4%1.38
オーバー 57% · アンダー 43%Goals 2.5オーバー57%1.75
はい 60% · いいえ 40%両チーム得点はい60%1.67
3.00 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
9.6 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
アリアナFCマルメー win32%3.13
引き分け28%3.57
トレッレボリFF win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アリアナFCマルメー1.37

ホーム share of expected goals 45.7%

Total expected goals3.00Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 57% · アンダー 43%

トレッレボリFF1.63

アウェイ share of expected goals 54.3%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 60% · いいえ 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アリアナFCマルメー

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

トレッレボリFF

2.20pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn2Losses0ポイント11

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
勝ち probability excluding draw
40%
10
Points from supplied form
11
1.37
Expected goals
1.63
アリアナFCマルメートレッレボリFF
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アリアナFCマルメー signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02トレッレボリFF signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

アリアナFCマルメー vs トレッレボリFF FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アリアナFCマルメー 勝ち 32%,引き分け 28%,トレッレボリFF 勝ち 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.00 · オーバー 2.5 57% · Current selection オーバー