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UZB Uzbekistan PFL · Trận đấu ·

Neftchi Fargona vs Qizilqum Zarafshon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–02.41 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng75%
Hòa17%
Đội khách thắng8%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 75% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng75% selection probability
Projected score2–0Neftchi FargonaQizilqum Zarafshon
Expected goals2.41Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu57% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông79% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
75% / 17% / 8%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Qizilqum Zarafshon win (7.6%)Cơ hội kép1X92.4%1.08
Tài 43% · Xỉu 57%Goals 2.5Xỉu57%1.75
Có 21% · Không 79%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông79%1.27
2.41 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–0
8.7 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapNeftchi Fargona winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Neftchi Fargona win75%1.331.2074.8%+0.2 pp
Hòa17%5.885.2517.1%-0.1 pp
Qizilqum Zarafshon win8%12.5011.008.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Neftchi Fargona2.14

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 88.8%

Total expected goals2.41Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 43% · Xỉu 57%

Qizilqum Zarafshon0.27

Khách share of expected goals 11.2%

Projected score2–0BTTS split 21% · Không 79%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Neftchi Fargona

1.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Điểm9

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Qizilqum Zarafshon

0.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Điểm2

SignalChủ nhà clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
Thắng probability excluding draw
8%
9
Points from supplied form
2
2.14
Expected goals
0.27
Neftchi FargonaQizilqum Zarafshon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Neftchi Fargona signalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Qizilqum Zarafshon signalChủ nhà clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Neftchi Fargona vs Qizilqum Zarafshon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–0 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Neftchi Fargona thắng 75%,Hòa 17%,Qizilqum Zarafshon thắng 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.41 · Tài 2.5 43% · Current selection Xỉu