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UZB Ουζμπεκιστάν - PFL · Αγώνας ·

Νέφτσι Φάργκονα vs Κίζιλγκουμ Ζάραφσον

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–02.43 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου75%
Ισοπαλία17%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου8%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 75% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου75% selection probability
Projected score2–0Νέφτσι ΦάργκοναΚίζιλγκουμ Ζάραφσον
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω56% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι79% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
75% / 17% / 8%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Κίζιλγκουμ Ζάραφσον win (7.6%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X92.4%1.08
Άνω 44% · Κάτω 56%Goals 2.5Κάτω56%1.79
Ναι 21% · Όχι 79%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι79%1.27
2.43 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–0
8.7 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapΝέφτσι Φάργκονα winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Νέφτσι Φάργκονα win75%1.331.2074.8%+0.2 pp
Ισοπαλία17%5.885.2517.1%-0.1 pp
Κίζιλγκουμ Ζάραφσον win8%12.5011.008.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Νέφτσι Φάργκονα2.15

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 88.5%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 44% · Κάτω 56%

Κίζιλγκουμ Ζάραφσον0.28

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 11.5%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitΝαι 21% · Όχι 79%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Νέφτσι Φάργκονα

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Κίζιλγκουμ Ζάραφσον

0.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Πόντοι2

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
8%
9
Points from supplied form
2
2.15
Expected goals
0.28
Νέφτσι ΦάργκοναΚίζιλγκουμ Ζάραφσον
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Νέφτσι Φάργκονα signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Κίζιλγκουμ Ζάραφσον signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Νέφτσι Φάργκονα vs Κίζιλγκουμ Ζάραφσον FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–0 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Νέφτσι Φάργκονα νίκη 75%,Ισοπαλία 17%,Κίζιλγκουμ Ζάραφσον νίκη 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Άνω 2.5 44% · Current selection Κάτω