MatchFormula Spiel finden
Menu
UTC+8
ZeitzoneAsia/Shanghai
Deutsch
UZB Usbekistan - PFL · Spiel ·

Neftchi Fargona vs Qizilqum Zarafshon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–02.43 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg75%
Unentschieden17%
Auswärtssieg8%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 75% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg75% selection probability
Projected score2–0Neftchi FargonaQizilqum Zarafshon
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter56% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein79% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
75% / 17% / 8%SpielergebnisHeimsieg75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Qizilqum Zarafshon win (7.6%)Doppelte Chance1X92.4%1.08
Über 44% · Unter 56%Goals 2.5Unter56%1.79
Ja 21% · Nein 79%Beide Teams treffenNein79%1.27
2.43 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–0
8.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapNeftchi Fargona winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Neftchi Fargona win75%1.331.2074.8%+0.2 pp
Unentschieden17%5.885.2517.1%-0.1 pp
Qizilqum Zarafshon win8%12.5011.008.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Neftchi Fargona2.16

Heim share of expected goals 88.9%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 44% · Unter 56%

Qizilqum Zarafshon0.27

Auswärts share of expected goals 11.1%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitJa 21% · Nein 79%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Neftchi Fargona

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkte9

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Qizilqum Zarafshon

0.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
8%
9
Points from supplied form
2
2.16
Expected goals
0.27
Neftchi FargonaQizilqum Zarafshon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Neftchi Fargona signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Qizilqum Zarafshon signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Neftchi Fargona vs Qizilqum Zarafshon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–0 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Neftchi Fargona Gewinn 75%,Unentschieden 17%,Qizilqum Zarafshon Gewinn 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Über 2.5 44% · Current selection Unter