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UZB Uzbekistan PFL · Trận đấu ·

Navbahor Namangan vs Termez Surkhon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–12.43 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng54%
Hòa26%
Đội khách thắng20%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Navbahor NamanganTermez Surkhon
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu56% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
54% / 26% / 20%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Termez Surkhon win (20%)Cơ hội kép1X80%1.25
Tài 44% · Xỉu 56%Goals 2.5Xỉu56%1.79
Có 46% · Không 54%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông54%1.85
2.43 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
9.4 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Navbahor Namangan win54%1.851.6754.1%-0.1 pp
Hòa26%3.853.5025.8%+0.2 pp
Termez Surkhon win20%5.004.5020.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Navbahor Namangan1.58

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 44% · Xỉu 56%

Termez Surkhon0.85

Khách share of expected goals 35%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 46% · Không 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Navbahor Namangan

1.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Điểm6

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Termez Surkhon

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalKhách won 2/3 recent away matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Thắng probability excluding draw
20%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.58
Expected goals
0.85
Navbahor NamanganTermez Surkhon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Navbahor Namangan signalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Termez Surkhon signalKhách won 2/3 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Navbahor Namangan vs Termez Surkhon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Navbahor Namangan thắng 54%,Hòa 26%,Termez Surkhon thắng 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Tài 2.5 44% · Current selection Xỉu