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UZB Usbekistan - PFL · Final ·

Navbahor Namangan vs Termez Surkhon

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score1–0Prognose 2–1
Ude form
Hjemmesejr55%
Uafgjort25%
Udesejr21%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction Vundet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Navbahor NamanganTermez Surkhon
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
55% / 25% / 21%KampresultatHjemmesejr55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Termez Surkhon win (20.8%)Dobbeltchance1X79.2%1.26
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Ja 46% · Nej 54%Begge hold scorerNej54%1.85
2.43 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Navbahor Namangan win55%1.821.6554.7%+0.3 pp
Uafgjort25%4.003.7024.4%+0.6 pp
Termez Surkhon win21%4.764.3320.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Navbahor Namangan1.58

Hjemme share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%

Termez Surkhon0.85

Ude share of expected goals 35%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nej 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Navbahor Namangan

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Point6

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Termez Surkhon

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalUde won 2/3 recent away matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vundet probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.58
Expected goals
0.85
Navbahor NamanganTermez Surkhon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Navbahor Namangan signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Termez Surkhon signalUde won 2/3 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Navbahor Namangan vs Termez Surkhon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Navbahor Namangan vundet 55%,Uafgjort 25%,Termez Surkhon vundet 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under