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UZB Uzbekistan - PFL · Match ·

Navbahor Namangan vs Termez Surkhon

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.43 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger55%
Oavgjort25%
Bortaseger21%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Navbahor NamanganTermez Surkhon
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
55% / 25% / 21%MatchresultatHemmaseger55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Termez Surkhon win (20.8%)Dubbelchans1X79.2%1.26
Över 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Ja 46% · Nej 54%Båda lagen gör målNej54%1.85
2.43 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.4 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Navbahor Namangan win55%1.821.6554.7%+0.3 pp
Oavgjort25%4.003.7024.4%+0.6 pp
Termez Surkhon win21%4.764.3320.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Navbahor Namangan1.58

Hemma share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 44% · Under 56%

Termez Surkhon0.85

Borta share of expected goals 35%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nej 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Navbahor Namangan

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poäng6

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Termez Surkhon

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalBorta won 2/3 recent away matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.58
Expected goals
0.85
Navbahor NamanganTermez Surkhon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Navbahor Namangan signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Termez Surkhon signalBorta won 2/3 recent away matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Navbahor Namangan vs Termez Surkhon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Navbahor Namangan vunnen 55%,Oavgjort 25%,Termez Surkhon vunnen 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · Över 2.5 44% · Current selection Under