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DNK Denmark Superligaen · Round 4 ·

AGF Aarhus vs Odense BK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score3–13.38 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır55%
Beraberlik24%
Deplasman kazanır20%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır55% selection probability
Projected score3–1AGF AarhusOdense BK
Expected goals3.38Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst66% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
55% / 24% / 20%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Odense BK win (20.5%)Çifte Şans1X79.5%1.26
Üst 66% · Alt 34%Goals 2.5Üst66%1.52
Evet 52% · Hayır 48%Karşılıklı gol varEvet52%1.92
3.38 total expected goalsDoğru skor3–1
10.4 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapOdense BK winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AGF Aarhus win55%1.821.7553.6%+1.4 pp
Beraberlik24%4.173.8024.7%-0.7 pp
Odense BK win20%5.004.3321.7%-1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AGF Aarhus2.55

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 75.4%

Total expected goals3.38Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 66% · Alt 34%

Odense BK0.83

Deplasman share of expected goals 24.6%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitEvet 52% · Hayır 48%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

AGF Aarhus

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Odense BK

0.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puan3

SignalDeplasman failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
3
2.55
Expected goals
0.83
AGF AarhusOdense BK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AGF Aarhus signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Odense BK signalDeplasman failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

AGF Aarhus vs Odense BK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 3–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AGF Aarhus kazanç 55%,Beraberlik 24%,Odense BK kazanç 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.38 · 2.5 Üst 66% · Current selection Üst