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DNK Denmark Superligaen · Round 4 ·

AGF Άαρχους vs Οντένσε ΒΚ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score3–13.38 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου55%
Ισοπαλία24%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου20%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου55% selection probability
Projected score3–1AGF ΆαρχουςΟντένσε ΒΚ
Expected goals3.38Άνοιγμα match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω66% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
55% / 24% / 20%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Οντένσε ΒΚ win (20.5%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X79.5%1.26
Άνω 66% · Κάτω 34%Goals 2.5Άνω66%1.52
Ναι 52% · Όχι 48%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι52%1.92
3.38 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ3–1
10.4 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapΟντένσε ΒΚ winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AGF Άαρχους win55%1.821.7553.6%+1.4 pp
Ισοπαλία24%4.173.8024.7%-0.7 pp
Οντένσε ΒΚ win20%5.004.3321.7%-1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AGF Άαρχους2.55

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 75.4%

Total expected goals3.38Άνοιγμα

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 66% · Κάτω 34%

Οντένσε ΒΚ0.83

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 24.6%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitΝαι 52% · Όχι 48%Match profileΆνοιγμα
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

AGF Άαρχους

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Οντένσε ΒΚ

0.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Πόντοι3

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
3
2.55
Expected goals
0.83
AGF ΆαρχουςΟντένσε ΒΚ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AGF Άαρχους signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Οντένσε ΒΚ signalΦιλοξενούμενος failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

AGF Άαρχους vs Οντένσε ΒΚ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 3–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AGF Άαρχους νίκη 55%,Ισοπαλία 24%,Οντένσε ΒΚ νίκη 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.38 · Άνω 2.5 66% · Current selection Άνω