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DNK Denmark Superligaen · Final ·

AGF Aarhus vs OB

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score2–2Prognose 3–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier62%
Uavgjort22%
Borteseier15%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 62% selection probability
Prediction Tapt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier62% selection probability
Projected score3–1AGF AarhusOB
Expected goals3.38Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over66% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
62% / 22% / 15%KampresultatHjemmeseier62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes OB win (15.5%)Dobbel sjanse1X84.5%1.18
Over 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Over66%1.52
Ja 52% · Nei 48%Begge lag scorerJa52%1.92
3.38 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
10.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
AGF Aarhus win62%1.61
Uavgjort22%4.55
OB win15%6.67

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AGF Aarhus2.55

Hjemme share of expected goals 75.4%

Total expected goals3.38Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 66% · Under 34%

OB0.83

Borte share of expected goals 24.6%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nei 48%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

AGF Aarhus

0.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poeng4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

OB

0.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Poeng3

SignalBorte failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
15%
4
Points from supplied form
3
2.55
Expected goals
0.83
AGF AarhusOB
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AGF Aarhus signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02OB signalBorte failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

AGF Aarhus vs OB FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 3–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AGF Aarhus vunnet 62%,Uavgjort 22%,OB vunnet 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.38 · Over 2.5 66% · Current selection Over