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DNK Denmark Superligaen · Round 4 ·

AGF Aarhus vs Odense BK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–13.38 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg55%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg20%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg55% selection probability
Projected score3–1AGF AarhusOdense BK
Expected goals3.38Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über66% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
55% / 24% / 20%SpielergebnisHeimsieg55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Odense BK win (20.5%)Doppelte Chance1X79.5%1.26
Über 66% · Unter 34%Goals 2.5Über66%1.52
Ja 52% · Nein 48%Beide Teams treffenJa52%1.92
3.38 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–1
10.4 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapOdense BK winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AGF Aarhus win55%1.821.7553.6%+1.4 pp
Unentschieden24%4.173.8024.7%-0.7 pp
Odense BK win20%5.004.3321.7%-1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AGF Aarhus2.55

Heim share of expected goals 75.4%

Total expected goals3.38Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 66% · Unter 34%

Odense BK0.83

Auswärts share of expected goals 24.6%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nein 48%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

AGF Aarhus

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Odense BK

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalAuswärts failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
3
2.55
Expected goals
0.83
AGF AarhusOdense BK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AGF Aarhus signalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Odense BK signalAuswärts failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

AGF Aarhus vs Odense BK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AGF Aarhus Gewinn 55%,Unentschieden 24%,Odense BK Gewinn 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.38 · Über 2.5 66% · Current selection Über