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DNK Denmark Superligaen · Round 4 ·

AGF Aarhus vs Odense BK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score3–13.38 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local55%
Empate24%
Victoria visitante20%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local55% selection probability
Projected score3–1AGF AarhusOdense BK
Expected goals3.38Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de66% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
55% / 24% / 20%Resultado del partidoVictoria local55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Odense BK win (20.5%)Doble Oportunidad1X79.5%1.26
Más de 66% · Menos de 34%Goals 2.5Más de66%1.52
Sí 52% · No 48%Ambos equipos marcan52%1.92
3.38 total expected goalsMarcador exacto3–1
10.4 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapOdense BK winDifference-1.7 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AGF Aarhus win55%1.821.7553.6%+1.4 pp
Empate24%4.173.8024.7%-0.7 pp
Odense BK win20%5.004.3321.7%-1.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AGF Aarhus2.55

Local share of expected goals 75.4%

Total expected goals3.38Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 66% · Menos de 34%

Odense BK0.83

Visitante share of expected goals 24.6%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 52% · No 48%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

AGF Aarhus

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Odense BK

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puntos3

SignalVisitante failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Ganado probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
3
2.55
Expected goals
0.83
AGF AarhusOdense BK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AGF Aarhus signalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Odense BK signalVisitante failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

AGF Aarhus vs Odense BK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 3–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AGF Aarhus ganada 55%,Empate 24%,Odense BK ganada 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.38 · Más de 2.5 66% · Current selection Más de