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DNK Denmark Superligaen · Round 4 ·

Midtjylland vs Randers FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.09 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg66%
Unentschieden21%
Auswärtssieg13%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg66% selection probability
Projected score2–1MidtjyllandRanders FC
Expected goals3.09Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über60% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
66% / 21% / 13%SpielergebnisHeimsieg66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Randers FC win (12.7%)Doppelte Chance1X87.3%1.15
Über 60% · Unter 40%Goals 2.5Über60%1.67
Ja 42% · Nein 58%Beide Teams treffenNein58%1.72
3.09 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.2 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapMidtjylland winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Midtjylland win66%1.521.4465%+1.0 pp
Unentschieden21%4.764.3321.6%-0.6 pp
Randers FC win13%7.697.0013.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Midtjylland2.48

Heim share of expected goals 80.3%

Total expected goals3.09Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 60% · Unter 40%

Randers FC0.61

Auswärts share of expected goals 19.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 42% · Nein 58%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Midtjylland

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Randers FC

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalAuswärts failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
13%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.48
Expected goals
0.61
MidtjyllandRanders FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Midtjylland signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Randers FC signalAuswärts failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Midtjylland vs Randers FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Midtjylland Gewinn 66%,Unentschieden 21%,Randers FC Gewinn 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.09 · Über 2.5 60% · Current selection Über