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DNK Denmark Superligaen · Round 4 ·

Midtjylland vs Randers FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–13.09 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy66%
Remis21%
Wygrana gości13%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy66% selection probability
Projected score2–1MidtjyllandRanders FC
Expected goals3.09Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej60% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
66% / 21% / 13%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Randers FC win (12.7%)Podwójna szansa1X87.3%1.15
Powyżej 60% · Poniżej 40%Goals 2.5Powyżej60%1.67
Tak 42% · Nie 58%Obie drużyny strzeląNie58%1.72
3.09 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
10.2 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapMidtjylland winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Midtjylland win66%1.521.4465%+1.0 pp
Remis21%4.764.3321.6%-0.6 pp
Randers FC win13%7.697.0013.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Midtjylland2.48

Gospodarze share of expected goals 80.3%

Total expected goals3.09Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 60% · Poniżej 40%

Randers FC0.61

Goście share of expected goals 19.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 42% · Nie 58%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Midtjylland

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Randers FC

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGoście failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
13%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.48
Expected goals
0.61
MidtjyllandRanders FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Midtjylland signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Randers FC signalGoście failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Midtjylland vs Randers FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Midtjylland wygrana 66%,Remis 21%,Randers FC wygrana 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.09 · Powyżej 2.5 60% · Current selection Powyżej