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DNK Denmark Superligaen · Round 4 ·

FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.09 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr66%
Uafgjort21%
Udesejr13%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr66% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC MidtjyllandRanders FC
Expected goals3.09Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over60% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
66% / 21% / 13%KampresultatHjemmesejr66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Randers FC win (12.7%)Dobbeltchance1X87.3%1.15
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Ja 42% · Nej 58%Begge hold scorerNej58%1.72
3.09 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapFC Midtjylland winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Midtjylland win66%1.521.4465%+1.0 pp
Uafgjort21%4.764.3321.6%-0.6 pp
Randers FC win13%7.697.0013.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Midtjylland2.48

Hjemme share of expected goals 80.3%

Total expected goals3.09Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%

Randers FC0.61

Ude share of expected goals 19.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 42% · Nej 58%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FC Midtjylland

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Randers FC

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalUde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Vundet probability excluding draw
13%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.48
Expected goals
0.61
FC MidtjyllandRanders FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Midtjylland signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Randers FC signalUde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

FC Midtjylland vs Randers FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Midtjylland vundet 66%,Uafgjort 21%,Randers FC vundet 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.09 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over