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DNK Denmark Superligaen · Round 4 ·

Midtjylland vs Randers FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–13.09 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit66%
Viik21%
Võõrsilvõit13%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit66% selection probability
Projected score2–1MidtjyllandRanders FC
Expected goals3.09Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle60% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
66% / 21% / 13%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Randers FC win (12.7%)Topeltvõimalus1X87.3%1.15
Üle 60% · Alla 40%Goals 2.5Üle60%1.67
Jah 42% · Ei 58%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi58%1.72
3.09 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
10.2 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapMidtjylland winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Midtjylland win66%1.521.4465%+1.0 pp
Viik21%4.764.3321.6%-0.6 pp
Randers FC win13%7.697.0013.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Midtjylland2.48

Kodu share of expected goals 80.3%

Total expected goals3.09Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 60% · Alla 40%

Randers FC0.61

Võõras share of expected goals 19.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 42% · Ei 58%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Midtjylland

1.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punktid7

SignalKodu failed to score: 2/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Randers FC

1.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punktid7

SignalVõõras failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Võit probability excluding draw
13%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.48
Expected goals
0.61
MidtjyllandRanders FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Midtjylland signalKodu failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Randers FC signalVõõras failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Midtjylland vs Randers FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Midtjylland võit 66%,Viik 21%,Randers FC võit 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.09 · Üle 2.5 60% · Current selection Üle