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DNK Denmark Superligaen · Round 4 ·

Midtjylland vs Randers FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.09 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile66%
Nul21%
Victoire à l’extérieur13%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile66% selection probability
Projected score2–1MidtjyllandRanders FC
Expected goals3.09Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de60% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
66% / 21% / 13%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Randers FC win (12.7%)Double chance1X87.3%1.15
Plus de 60% · Moins de 40%Goals 2.5Plus de60%1.67
Oui 42% · Non 58%Les deux équipes marquentNon58%1.72
3.09 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapMidtjylland winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Midtjylland win66%1.521.4465%+1.0 pp
Nul21%4.764.3321.6%-0.6 pp
Randers FC win13%7.697.0013.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Midtjylland2.48

Domicile share of expected goals 80.3%

Total expected goals3.09Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 60% · Moins de 40%

Randers FC0.61

Extérieur share of expected goals 19.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 42% · Non 58%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Midtjylland

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Randers FC

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalExtérieur failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Gagné probability excluding draw
13%
7
Points from supplied form
7
2.48
Expected goals
0.61
MidtjyllandRanders FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Midtjylland signalDomicile failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Randers FC signalExtérieur failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Midtjylland vs Randers FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Midtjylland victoire 66%,Nul 21%,Randers FC victoire 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.09 · Plus de 2.5 60% · Current selection Plus de