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UZB Uzbekistan PFL · Final ·

Xorazm FK Urganch vs FK Mashal Mubarek

Prediction review

Ev Sahibi form
Final score2–0Tahmin 1–1
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır53%
Beraberlik28%
Deplasman kazanır19%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 53% selection probability
Prediction Kazandı
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır53% selection probability
Projected score1–1Xorazm FK UrganchFK Mashal Mubarek
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt73% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
53% / 28% / 19%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Mashal Mubarek win (19%)Çifte Şans1X81%1.23
Üst 27% · Alt 73%Goals 2.5Alt73%1.37
Evet 32% · Hayır 68%Karşılıklı gol varHayır68%1.47
1.78 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
9.7 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Xorazm FK Urganch win53%1.891.7053.4%-0.4 pp
Beraberlik28%3.573.3027.5%+0.5 pp
FK Mashal Mubarek win19%5.264.7519.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Xorazm FK Urganch1.19

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 66.9%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 27% · Alt 73%

FK Mashal Mubarek0.59

Deplasman share of expected goals 33.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 32% · Hayır 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Xorazm FK Urganch

0.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puan3

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

FK Mashal Mubarek

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
19%
3
Points from supplied form
4
1.19
Expected goals
0.59
Xorazm FK UrganchFK Mashal Mubarek
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Xorazm FK Urganch signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Mashal Mubarek signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Xorazm FK Urganch vs FK Mashal Mubarek FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Xorazm FK Urganch kazanç 53%,Beraberlik 28%,FK Mashal Mubarek kazanç 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · 2.5 Üst 27% · Current selection Alt