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UZB Usbekistan - PFL · Final ·

Xorazm FK Urganch vs FK Mashal Mubarek

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score2–0Prognose 1–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg53%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg19%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 53% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg53% selection probability
Projected score1–1Xorazm FK UrganchFK Mashal Mubarek
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter73% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein68% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
53% / 28% / 19%SpielergebnisHeimsieg53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Mashal Mubarek win (19%)Doppelte Chance1X81%1.23
Über 27% · Unter 73%Goals 2.5Unter73%1.37
Ja 32% · Nein 68%Beide Teams treffenNein68%1.47
1.78 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Xorazm FK Urganch win53%1.891.7053.4%-0.4 pp
Unentschieden28%3.573.3027.5%+0.5 pp
FK Mashal Mubarek win19%5.264.7519.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Xorazm FK Urganch1.19

Heim share of expected goals 66.9%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 27% · Unter 73%

FK Mashal Mubarek0.59

Auswärts share of expected goals 33.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 32% · Nein 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Xorazm FK Urganch

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

FK Mashal Mubarek

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
19%
3
Points from supplied form
4
1.19
Expected goals
0.59
Xorazm FK UrganchFK Mashal Mubarek
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Xorazm FK Urganch signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Mashal Mubarek signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Xorazm FK Urganch vs FK Mashal Mubarek FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Xorazm FK Urganch Gewinn 53%,Unentschieden 28%,FK Mashal Mubarek Gewinn 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · Über 2.5 27% · Current selection Unter