Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
53% / 28% / 19%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Mashal Mubarek win (19%)Dubbele Kans1X81%1.23
Boven 27% · Onder 73%Goals 2.5Onder73%1.37
Ja 32% · Nee 68%Beide teams scorenNee68%1.47
1.78 total expected goalsExacte score1–1——
9.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Xorazm FK Urganch win53%1.891.7053.4%-0.4 pp
Gelijkspel28%3.573.3027.5%+0.5 pp
FK Mashal Mubarek win19%5.264.7519.1%-0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 66.9%
Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Boven 27% · Onder 73%
Uit share of expected goals 33.1%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 32% · Nee 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchXorazm FK Urganch
LWLLL
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5
Uit-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchFK Mashal Mubarek
LLDWL
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4
SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
53%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
19%3
Points from supplied form
41.19
Expected goals
0.59Xorazm FK UrganchFK Mashal Mubarek
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Xorazm FK Urganch vs FK Mashal Mubarek FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 53% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Xorazm FK Urganch gewonnen 53%，Gelijkspel 28%，FK Mashal Mubarek gewonnen 19%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.78 · Boven 2.5 27% · Current selection Onder。