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EST Estland - Esiliiga · Round 21 ·

JK Tallinna Kalev vs FC Tallinn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–13.83 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger62%
Oavgjort19%
Bortaseger19%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger62% selection probability
Projected score2–1JK Tallinna KalevFC Tallinn
Expected goals3.83Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över74% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
62% / 19% / 19%MatchresultatHemmaseger62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (19%)Dubbelchans1281%1.23
Över 74% · Under 26%Goals 2.5Över74%1.35
Ja 70% · Nej 30%Båda lagen gör målJa70%1.43
3.83 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.4 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapJK Tallinna Kalev winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Tallinna Kalev win62%1.611.4562.1%-0.1 pp
Oavgjort19%5.264.7519%0.0 pp
FC Tallinn win19%5.264.7519%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tallinna Kalev2.39

Hemma share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals3.83Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 74% · Under 26%

FC Tallinn1.44

Borta share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 70% · Nej 30%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

JK Tallinna Kalev

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

FC Tallinn

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
19%
10
Points from supplied form
9
2.39
Expected goals
1.44
JK Tallinna KalevFC Tallinn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tallinna Kalev signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Tallinn signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

JK Tallinna Kalev vs FC Tallinn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tallinna Kalev vunnen 62%,Oavgjort 19%,FC Tallinn vunnen 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.83 · Över 2.5 74% · Current selection Över