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EST Estonia - Esiliiga · Round 21 ·

JK Tallinna Kalev vs FC Tallinn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–13.83 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde62%
Egal19%
Victorie oaspeți19%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde62% selection probability
Projected score2–1JK Tallinna KalevFC Tallinn
Expected goals3.83Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste74% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
62% / 19% / 19%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (19%)Șansă dublă1281%1.23
Peste 74% · Sub 26%Goals 2.5Peste74%1.35
Da 70% · Nu 30%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa70%1.43
3.83 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapJK Tallinna Kalev winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Tallinna Kalev win62%1.611.4562.1%-0.1 pp
Egal19%5.264.7519%0.0 pp
FC Tallinn win19%5.264.7519%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tallinna Kalev2.39

Gazde share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals3.83Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 74% · Sub 26%

FC Tallinn1.44

Oaspeți share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 70% · Nu 30%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

JK Tallinna Kalev

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

FC Tallinn

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Câștig probability excluding draw
19%
10
Points from supplied form
9
2.39
Expected goals
1.44
JK Tallinna KalevFC Tallinn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tallinna Kalev signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Tallinn signalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

JK Tallinna Kalev vs FC Tallinn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tallinna Kalev câștig 62%,Egal 19%,FC Tallinn câștig 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.83 · Peste 2.5 74% · Current selection Peste