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EST Estonia - Esiliiga · Round 21 ·

JK Tallinna Kalev vs FC Tallinn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–13.83 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local62%
Empate19%
Victoria visitante19%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local62% selection probability
Projected score2–1JK Tallinna KalevFC Tallinn
Expected goals3.83Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de74% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
62% / 19% / 19%Resultado del partidoVictoria local62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (19%)Doble Oportunidad1281%1.23
Más de 74% · Menos de 26%Goals 2.5Más de74%1.35
Sí 70% · No 30%Ambos equipos marcan70%1.43
3.83 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
10.4 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapJK Tallinna Kalev winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Tallinna Kalev win62%1.611.4562.1%-0.1 pp
Empate19%5.264.7519%0.0 pp
FC Tallinn win19%5.264.7519%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tallinna Kalev2.39

Local share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals3.83Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 74% · Menos de 26%

FC Tallinn1.44

Visitante share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 70% · No 30%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

JK Tallinna Kalev

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

FC Tallinn

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Ganado probability excluding draw
19%
10
Points from supplied form
9
2.39
Expected goals
1.44
JK Tallinna KalevFC Tallinn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tallinna Kalev signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Tallinn signalLocal matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

JK Tallinna Kalev vs FC Tallinn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tallinna Kalev ganada 62%,Empate 19%,FC Tallinn ganada 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.83 · Más de 2.5 74% · Current selection Más de