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EST Estonie - Esiliiga · Round 21 ·

JK Tallinna Kalev vs FC Tallinn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.83 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile62%
Nul19%
Victoire à l’extérieur19%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 62% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile62% selection probability
Projected score2–1JK Tallinna KalevFC Tallinn
Expected goals3.83Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de74% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
62% / 19% / 19%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (19%)Double chance1281%1.23
Plus de 74% · Moins de 26%Goals 2.5Plus de74%1.35
Oui 70% · Non 30%Les deux équipes marquentOui70%1.43
3.83 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapJK Tallinna Kalev winDifference-0.1 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JK Tallinna Kalev win62%1.611.4562.1%-0.1 pp
Nul19%5.264.7519%0.0 pp
FC Tallinn win19%5.264.7519%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JK Tallinna Kalev2.39

Domicile share of expected goals 62.4%

Total expected goals3.83Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 74% · Moins de 26%

FC Tallinn1.44

Extérieur share of expected goals 37.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 70% · Non 30%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

JK Tallinna Kalev

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

FC Tallinn

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Gagné probability excluding draw
19%
10
Points from supplied form
9
2.39
Expected goals
1.44
JK Tallinna KalevFC Tallinn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JK Tallinna Kalev signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Tallinn signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

JK Tallinna Kalev vs FC Tallinn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JK Tallinna Kalev victoire 62%,Nul 19%,FC Tallinn victoire 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.83 · Plus de 2.5 74% · Current selection Plus de