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Excelsior vs PSV

Archived pre-match prediction

Hemma form
Projected score1–23.80 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger20%
Oavgjort22%
Bortaseger58%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger58% selection probability
Projected score1–2ExcelsiorPSV
Expected goals3.80Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över73% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
20% / 22% / 58%MatchresultatBortaseger58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Excelsior win (19.7%)DubbelchansX280.3%1.25
Över 73% · Under 27%Goals 2.5Över73%1.37
Ja 68% · Nej 32%Båda lagen gör målJa68%1.47
3.80 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
10.5 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Excelsior win20%5.004.7519.8%+0.2 pp
Oavgjort22%4.554.2022.3%-0.3 pp
PSV win58%1.721.6257.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Excelsior1.33

Hemma share of expected goals 35%

Total expected goals3.80Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 73% · Under 27%

PSV2.47

Borta share of expected goals 65%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 68% · Nej 32%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Excelsior

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

PSV

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
58%
13
Points from supplied form
10
1.33
Expected goals
2.47
ExcelsiorPSV
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Excelsior signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02PSV signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Excelsior vs PSV FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Excelsior vunnen 20%,Oavgjort 22%,PSV vunnen 58%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.80 · Över 2.5 73% · Current selection Över