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NLD Madalmaade Eredivisie · Mäng ·

Excelsior vs PSV

Archived pre-match prediction

Kodu form
Projected score1–23.80 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit20%
Viik22%
Võõrsilvõit58%
Full model forecastVõõrsilvõitTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVõõrsilvõit58% selection probability
Projected score1–2ExcelsiorPSV
Expected goals3.80Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle73% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
20% / 22% / 58%Mängu tulemusVõõrsilvõit58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Excelsior win (19.7%)TopeltvõimalusX280.3%1.25
Üle 73% · Alla 27%Goals 2.5Üle73%1.37
Jah 68% · Ei 32%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah68%1.47
3.80 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–2
10.5 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Excelsior win20%5.004.7519.8%+0.2 pp
Viik22%4.554.2022.3%-0.3 pp
PSV win58%1.721.6257.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Excelsior1.33

Kodu share of expected goals 35%

Total expected goals3.80Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 73% · Alla 27%

PSV2.47

Võõras share of expected goals 65%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJah 68% · Ei 32%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Excelsior

2.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punktid13

SignalKodu unbeaten 5/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

PSV

2.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punktid10

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Võit probability excluding draw
58%
13
Points from supplied form
10
1.33
Expected goals
2.47
ExcelsiorPSV
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Excelsior signalKodu unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02PSV signalKodu matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Excelsior vs PSV FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Võõrsilvõit · Projected score 1–2 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Excelsior võit 20%,Viik 22%,PSV võit 58%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.80 · Üle 2.5 73% · Current selection Üle