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NLD Holandia - Eredivisie · Mecz ·

Excelsior vs PSV

Archived pre-match prediction

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–23.80 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy20%
Remis22%
Wygrana gości58%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości58% selection probability
Projected score1–2ExcelsiorPSV
Expected goals3.80Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej73% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
20% / 22% / 58%Wynik meczuWygrana gości58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Excelsior win (19.7%)Podwójna szansaX280.3%1.25
Powyżej 73% · Poniżej 27%Goals 2.5Powyżej73%1.37
Tak 68% · Nie 32%Obie drużyny strzeląTak68%1.47
3.80 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
10.5 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Excelsior win20%5.004.7519.8%+0.2 pp
Remis22%4.554.2022.3%-0.3 pp
PSV win58%1.721.6257.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Excelsior1.33

Gospodarze share of expected goals 35%

Total expected goals3.80Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 73% · Poniżej 27%

PSV2.47

Goście share of expected goals 65%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 68% · Nie 32%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Excelsior

2.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkty13

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

PSV

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
58%
13
Points from supplied form
10
1.33
Expected goals
2.47
ExcelsiorPSV
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Excelsior signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02PSV signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Excelsior vs PSV FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Excelsior wygrana 20%,Remis 22%,PSV wygrana 58%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.80 · Powyżej 2.5 73% · Current selection Powyżej