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NLD Нидерландия - Ередивизия · Мач ·

Екселсиор vs ПСВ

Archived pre-match prediction

Домакин form
Projected score1–23.80 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина20%
Равен22%
Победа за госта58%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта58% selection probability
Projected score1–2ЕкселсиорПСВ
Expected goals3.80Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над73% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
20% / 22% / 58%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Екселсиор win (19.7%)Двоен шансX280.3%1.25
Над 73% · Под 27%Goals 2.5Над73%1.37
Да 68% · Не 32%И двата отбора да отбележатДа68%1.47
3.80 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–2
10.5 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Екселсиор win20%5.004.7519.8%+0.2 pp
Равен22%4.554.2022.3%-0.3 pp
ПСВ win58%1.721.6257.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Екселсиор1.33

Домакин share of expected goals 35%

Total expected goals3.80Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 73% · Под 27%

ПСВ2.47

Гост share of expected goals 65%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 68% · Не 32%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Екселсиор

2.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Точки13

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

ПСВ

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
58%
13
Points from supplied form
10
1.33
Expected goals
2.47
ЕкселсиорПСВ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Екселсиор signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ПСВ signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Екселсиор vs ПСВ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–2 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Екселсиор печеливш 20%,Равен 22%,ПСВ печеливш 58%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.80 · Над 2.5 73% · Current selection Над