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NLD Netherlands Eredivisie · Maç ·

Excelsior vs PSV

Archived pre-match prediction

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–23.80 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır20%
Beraberlik22%
Deplasman kazanır58%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır58% selection probability
Projected score1–2ExcelsiorPSV
Expected goals3.80Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst73% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
20% / 22% / 58%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Excelsior win (19.7%)Çifte ŞansX280.3%1.25
Üst 73% · Alt 27%Goals 2.5Üst73%1.37
Evet 68% · Hayır 32%Karşılıklı gol varEvet68%1.47
3.80 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–2
10.5 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.6%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Excelsior win20%5.004.7519.8%+0.2 pp
Beraberlik22%4.554.2022.3%-0.3 pp
PSV win58%1.721.6257.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Excelsior1.33

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 35%

Total expected goals3.80Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 73% · Alt 27%

PSV2.47

Deplasman share of expected goals 65%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitEvet 68% · Hayır 32%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Excelsior

2.60pts / match
Oynanan5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Puan13

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

PSV

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
58%
13
Points from supplied form
10
1.33
Expected goals
2.47
ExcelsiorPSV
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Excelsior signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02PSV signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Excelsior vs PSV FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–2 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Excelsior kazanç 20%,Beraberlik 22%,PSV kazanç 58%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.80 · 2.5 Üst 73% · Current selection Üst